BUDAPEST · AUGUST 1992 · THE IMPOSSIBLE OVERTAKE
1992 Hungarian Grand Prix
THE STORY
Mansell had the best car ever built. Senna passed him anyway.
Gary — 33 · Three Fantasy F1 leagues
The data from the onboards: Mansell's braking point for that corner was approximately 95 metres before the apex. Senna braked at 68 metres. Twenty-seven metres later than the fastest driver in the fastest car chose to brake — and he made it stick. The traction model I use would have given that move a 43% success probability. Senna apparently calculated differently.
For context: the FW14B had 42% more aerodynamic downforce than the McLaren MP4/7. On pure pace, Senna winning that race was a 7% probability event. He treated 7% probabilities like certainties, and that's why no number I put on him ever fully captured what he was. The model is embarrassed. The model remains embarrassed.
Kat — 30 · Technical journalist
The FW14B's active suspension meant it was always at optimal ride height regardless of fuel load, kerbs, or driver input. That's a massive advantage in theory. But active suspension is only as good as the software mapping, and the software couldn't account for a driver who committed to a late-apex line that no dataset had mapped. Senna literally went off the model.
What I find technically remarkable is what Senna did before the overtake. He spent three laps positioning himself on the exit of the final chicane to compromise Mansell's exit speed — deliberately using the McLaren's chassis balance to be narrow through the apex, forcing Mansell wide. The overtake started three corners before the overtake. That's what separates the truly great from the merely exceptional.
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